Let us consider the possible evolution of the biosphere as a whole.
It's hard to think of it in traditional terms of competition between many,
because our planet obviously do not compete with other planets in time scale,
in which the earth's biosphere as a whole do evolves.
At first sight a suggestion suffices the planet evolves as a whole,
just because parts of it (subsystems) evolve. We'd like to look at it
in more details yet.
The exponential growth (especially the economical growth, we seem to experience
and urge for) is not just a bad habit, which people could overcome, if we were
morally stronger as
Club of Romein it's
Report
suggests. It is on most cases the consequence of feedback mechanisms. Some
feedbacks we can define and create, some other we may dissolve, but the strongest
emerge totally beyond our control.
In the following I'd like to present three thesis:
- Some global circulations (money, trade, internet are examples) may grow due
to feedbacks far beyond any human conscious intentional control and work well,
which means to stabilize resources (like climate)
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This is the
contrary to the Club of Rome suggestion, in which such growth in-evidently leads
to explosion, disaster and collapse. |
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.
- The evolution, which traditionally regard many organisms may regard also
one organism. One organism may evolve on his own without others in the sense
it grows in complexity and self-control.
- The emerging global system tries to map all features of human psychic
by challenging us.
The way out seems to be to consider elements of all positive feedbacks
which bound the biosphere more and more. Yet now these elements between
which feedbacks are tied are not only individual organisms, but rather
whole populations and other biophysical aggregations like woods, savannas,
oil deposits, elements of weather, etc. Obviously we humans play a
mediating role in tightening these elements together e.g by human trade.
Let us consider these ties chaotic and without any rule in the first
approximation and let us ask which ties will ovewhelm after some time.
Obviously circulus with positive feedbacks will decide what will happen.
If our planet successes (possibly with a human help as a mediator) to
stabilize the climate and the environment we could truly be witnessing the
birth of some new (global) mechanism. As it is made of interrelated
organized parts we are allowed to call it an organism.
At this stage there is no matter how this stabilization is achieved
in smaller details. The only parts we consider are elements constituting
positive feedbacks.
Yet an important element of it's self-reference is still lacking.
This system does not know well enough itself to provide
stability. Without such self-knowledge no true feedback link
seem to be possible and it will decay by itself
while destroying our environment and possibly us humans too.
The challenge to the humanity stresses the fact that
left alone this system seems acquiring the knowledge
of human sociology by testing. Why ?
- Just because it's the next possible closing loop.