Let us consider the possible evolution of the biosphere as a whole.
It's hard to think of it in traditional terms of competition between many,
because our planet obviously do not compete with other planets in time scale,
in which the earth's biosphere as a whole do evolves.
At first sight a suggestion suffices the planet evolves as a whole,
just because parts of it (subsystems) evolve. We'd like to look at it
in more details yet.
The exponential growth (especially the economical growth, we seem to experience
and urge for) is not just a bad habit, which people could overcome, if we were
morally stronger as
Club of Romein it's
Report
suggests. It is on most cases the consequence of feedback mechanisms. Some
feedbacks we can define and create, some other we may dissolve, but the strongest
emerge totally beyond our control.
In the following I'd like to present three thesis:
- Some global circulations (money, trade, people migrations, internet
are examples) grow due to feedbacks, they cause far beyond any human
consciousnes and intentional control.
Surely the "global village" plays a key role. What this term more exactly
means for the purpose of this article, is explanined below.
Here we postulate the existence of a whole system of global junctions
and linkages, which coupled common earth's ressources in last time
(24)
|
The term "last time" may mean last two decades, in
which we observe the emergence of an internet, but it may also
mean last two milion years, in which we humans develope a language.
The symbolical junction is in center of this consideration and
how far ahead reaching process we identify as a natural necessity
dependes on the context. |
|
- This system of global feedbacks stabilize common earth's resources
(like climate)
(25)
|
This is the contrary to the Club of Rome forecast, in which such growth
leads to explosion, disaster and collapse. |
|
, which means
it stabilises itself.
- One can describe this system of feedbacks as a new organism
(26)
|
The term "organism" is used in the sense of something
organized. |
|
, which emerges.
- The central part of this global organism integrating the
earth's biosphere emerges as a digital one. One may ask why
planet's ressources are naturally integrating themselves in
a digital structure.
The casuse seems to stem from the fact, that it is information
driven, and information transforms in form if certain pieces.
- The emerging global system is currently maping human
psychic by challenging us.
The way out seems to be to consider elements of all positive feedbacks
which bound the biosphere more and more. Yet now these elements between
which feedbacks are tied are not only individual organisms, but rather
whole populations and other biophysical aggregations like woods, savannas,
oil deposits, elements of weather, etc. Obviously we humans play a
mediating role in tightening these elements together e.g by human trade.
Let us consider these ties chaotic and without any rule in the first
approximation and let us ask which ties will ovewhelm after some time.
Obviously circulus with positive feedbacks will decide what will happen.
If our planet successes (possibly with a human help as a mediator) to
stabilize the climate and the environment we could truly be witnessing the
birth of some new (global) mechanism. As it is made of interrelated
organized parts we are allowed to call it an organism.
At this stage there is no matter how this stabilization is achieved
in smaller details. The only parts we consider are elements constituting
positive feedbacks.
Yet an important element of it's self-reference is still lacking.
This system does not know well enough itself to provide
stability. Without such self-knowledge no true feedback link
seem to be possible and it will decay by itself
while destroying our environment and possibly us humans too.
The challenge to the humanity stresses the fact that
left alone this system seems acquiring the knowledge
of human sociology by testing. Why ?
- Just because it's the next possible closing loop.